2022 AFC Championship Game Betting Preview - Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs Props

2022 AFC Championship Game Betting Preview - Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs Props

Tyler Vaysman
2 years ago
3 min read
Eli Apple (20) makes a tackle on Darrel Williams (31) in a Chiefs vs. Bengals contest earlier in the season at Paul Brown Stadium in 2021

The AFC Championship Game between the Bengals and Chiefs promises to be a fascinating matchup, as both teams bring plenty of firepower into Arrowhead Stadium. 

Thanks to all of the offensive weapons on both sides of the game, there are several avenues to consider in the prop betting markets. These three prop bets in particular are worth looking at as both teams look to earn a spot in Super Bowl LVI.

Ja’Marr Chase Anytime Touchdown Scorer (EVEN)

While this may not be a groundbreaking piece of betting advice, there is a reason that Ja’Marr Chase is at even odds to score a touchdown in this contest. Chase scored three touchdowns against the Chiefs earlier this season, racking up 266 receiving yards on just 12 targets for the contest. He isn’t likely to score three times in this game, but he clearly is more than capable of getting separation against the Chiefs secondary.

It will be interesting to see how the Chiefs adjust to try to neutralize Chase in this game given how well he played against them in their regular-season meeting. But the Chiefs are coming off of a game where they allowed Gabriel Davis to score four touchdowns on over 200 receiving yards. Their pass defense just is not their strength, and Chase should be able to take advantage of that.

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Joe Burrow Over 284.5 Yards (-115)

In a similar vein, expect Joe Burrow to break 285 passing yards in this contest, as the Bengals should be able to move the ball through the air. Burrow threw the ball for 446 yards in the Bengals’ win over the Chiefs on January 2. Again, it isn’t likely that Burrow throws for quite as many yards as he did the first time, but he should be able to get up around 300 or more yards without too much trouble.

The reason this bet seems like a good one is the expected game script for this contest. The Bengals are a touchdown underdog in this game, which means that they will need to put the ball in the air to keep up with the Chiefs' offense. That should mean Burrow throwing the ball often, especially in the second half, which will boost his yardage numbers.

Tyreek Hill Longest Reception Under 24.5 Yards (-110)

Finally, it is worth taking a look at the longest reception prop for Tyreek Hill heading in to the AFC Championship Game. His number is set at just under 25 yards for this contest, and the under appears to be the way to go. This is a matter of perception versus reality, as it is expected that Hill will always break every ball he catches for a long distance.

The reality of this situation is that Hill had a rather modest receiving game against the Bengals in the first meeting between these two teams. Hill had six catches for 40 yards, with a long reception of just 17 yards in that game. Cincinnati’s defense has proven capable of slowing down explosive offenses this postseason, and they have proven at least once that they can avoid giving up the big play to Tyreek Hill.

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