Best Browns vs. Packers Prop Bets to Make
The Cleveland Browns and Green Bay Packers will square off on Saturday during Week 16 of this NFL season. And with the Browns fighting for a playoff spot in the AFC and the Packers fighting for the top seed in the NFC, there is a ton of significance on both sides of this matchup.
But instead of focusing on the outcome of the game itself here, there are some value spots worth looking at in the prop betting markets for this contest.
First Touchdown Yards Under 10.5 (-115)
From a game script perspective, the under 10.5 yards number for the length of the first touchdown of the game makes sense from the perspective of both teams. Cleveland is a team that does its offensive damage primarily by running the football, and them scoring the first touchdown is typically the result of a short run. Green Bay, meanwhile, likes to air the ball out but has seen the majority of their touchdowns come from inside the ten-yard-line of late.
Over Green Bay’s last three games, all wins for the Packers, they have seen all but five of their touchdowns come from inside of 10 yards. And two of those five touchdowns that were longer were pick-sixes that are unlikely to be replicated, along with an 11-yard touchdown in one instance. Because of that, taking the under 10.5 yards option for this market seems like the way to go.
First Scoring Play: Packers TD (+140)
Another solid value spot for this game is to take the Packers to score a touchdown as the game’s first scoring play. Everyone knows that the Packers have a more explosive and reliable offense than the Browns right now and that they are the more likely team to score first in this game. And when you combine the brilliance of Aaron Rodgers with the lack of consistency from the Packers’ kicking game this season, the first score being a Packers touchdown is a logical step.
In this case, the Packers come at plus money to score the game’s first touchdown, as the Browns’ offense seems to be getting a little too much respect. Baker Mayfield just hasn’t been all that good this season, even if he should be back this week after ending up on the COVID list for the Browns’ last game. Expect the Packers to score first by putting the ball in the end zone.
Both Teams To Score 15 Points: No (+110)
Finally, it is worth taking a flier on at least one team to fail to score 15 points in this game at +110. Cleveland failed to get there against a struggling Raiders defense in Week 15, though to be fair, that had something to do with Nick Mullens running their offense. But Baker Mayfield hasn’t been all that much of an upgrade over Mullens for much of this season.
With the Packers playing for the top seed in the NFC over these next few weeks, it is entirely possible that they bring it defensively and hold the Browns to two touchdowns or less on the scoreboard.
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