Boston Celtics @ New Orleans Pelicans (7 pm)

Favored Team and Spread: BOS -5

Total Points: 213.5

Small forward Jayson Tatum has been on a little tear offensively, but his shooting percentages are still considerably lower than his career, and that scares me a little.

Small forward Brandon Ingram (ankle) and center Jonas Valanciunas (illness) are questionable for this game, and that could be a decent swing to the line if one or both are active.

The Pelicans are 6-3-1 Against The Spread in their last ten games, so they should be able to keep this game close, so go with New Orleans +5.

The under hit in five of the last six Celtics games and 14 of the previous 17 Pelicans games against teams with a winning record. Under 213.5 also should be the play here.

Indiana Pacers @ Dallas Mavericks (7 pm)

Favored Team and Spread: DAL -10

Total Points: 216.5

Indiana is coming off a road overtime win over Oklahoma City, and this Dallas team is a lot more talented than them. However, power forward Domantas Sabonis returned in the game and had a huge triple-double to lead to the win.

He should be able to help take Kristaps Porzingis out of this game, and that will really make it easier for Indiana to cover the spread in this game. Dallas is the third-ranked defense as they are allowing 103.3 points per game as well, so there should not be a lot of scoring.

Go with the under as it is 8-2 in the Mavericks' last ten games as well.

Sacramento Kings @ Philadelphia 76ers (7:30 pm)

Favored Team and Spread: PHI -10.5

Total Points: 221.5

Point guard DeAaron Fox (ankle) and shooting guard Seth Curry (ankle) are both listed as questionable for this game, so that means there could be a chance at some lesser guard play.

One thing that will not be lesser is the production that center Joel Embiid should have as he is averaging 39.2 points, 12 rebounds, five assists, 2.2 blocks, and 0.4 steals over his previous five games and has become the favorite to win NBA MVP. Sacramento is 1-9 ATS in their last ten road games, so don't expect the trend to die here and go with Philly -10.5 in this game.

However, both offenses are not too impressive, especially with Seth Curry potentially missing this game as the Kings are 13th with 109.7 points per game and the Sixers are 21st with 107.7 points. The under seems to be the better play in this game.

Toronto Raptors @ Miami Heat (8 pm)

Favored Team and Spread: MIA -4.5

Total Points: 208

Guard play can be a little shaky as Fred VanVleet (knee) is questionable and Kyle Lowry (personal) is still out. These teams played once this season, with the Heat picking up a 104-99 home win.

I just like the Miami roster better, which makes sense as they are the top seed currently in the Eastern Conference, but the Raptors do not have that guy currently that can be the alpha on the team.

Toronto is 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games against Miami so go with the Heat -4.5 as well as under 208 points as the under hit in eight of the last ten Raptors games.

Washington Wizards @ Memphis Grizzlies (8 pm)

Favored Team and Spread: MEM -5.5

Total Points: 228.5

The Wizards smoked the Grizzlies 115-87 in their only other game this season, but this is time Memphis enacts revenge. Washington is on a four-game losing streak and should struggle against a player like point guard Ja Morant.

He is averaging 25.9 points, 6.1 rebounds, seven assists, and 1.3 steals this year while bumping all three of his shooting percentages up. The Wizards have covered in just one of the last five games against the Grizzlies, and that should continue.

The under has hit in two of the last three games for each team so go with under 228.5 points as well as it seems to be a more balanced game.

Brooklyn Nets @ Golden State Warriors (8:30 pm)

Favored Team and Spread: GS -6.5

Total Points: 230.5

Shooting guard James Harden (hamstring) is probable for this game, and all signs indicate he should be on the court. However, Golden State has shooting guard Andre Iguodala (hip) as questionable with both power forward Draymond Green (calf) and center James Wiseman (knee) out.

I expect Brooklyn to be able to score enough points to cover the spread on the road and potentially win this game outright. These teams are one and two in terms of three-point percentage against as Golden State is giving up 32.5 percent, and Brooklyn is at 32.9 percent, so the perimeter could be off limits.

The under has hit in eight of the last ten games between these teams, so go with under 230.5 as it seems not as many threes will be hit as you'd expect.

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NBA Daily Betting Guide: NBA Best Bets for January 29, 2022