New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds Series Betting Preview

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds Series Betting Preview

Sam Frohman
5 months ago
2 min read
Reds shortstop Kyle Farmer slides into third base with a triple in front of New York Mets third baseman Brandon Drury

The Reds will host the New York Mets for a three game series starting on the fourth of July night at 6:40 pm EST for the first pitch. The Reds managed to lose their second straight series in a row despite earning their first walk off of the season at Sunday afternoon’s game.

The Reds have now dropped even more games in the division and find themselves 17.5 games behind the Brewers who are in first place. They are 4.5 games back from the next worst team in the division, the Chicago Cubs. The Reds had lost ten straight games at home before that walk-off win and have an overall record of 13-25 at home this season.

The Mets are 49-30 and first place in the NL East, 3.5 games ahead of the next closest team in their division, the Atlanta Braves. They have the fourth best record in the division and have an overall record of 23-17 on the road this season. They will look to improve that record against the Reds on Monday.

Let’s look ahead at this National League matchup between the New York Mets and the Cincinnati Reds on Monday.

Mets vs. Reds Odds

The Mets are the clear 1.5 run favorite against the Reds on Monday with odds of -110 to win with those odds. The Reds have the same off of -110 to cover the spread at +1.5. I expect the Mets to have this same run and a half advantage for the next two games in the series.

To win the game outright, the Mets have odds of -170, and the Reds have odds of +145. The total number of runs expected to be scored in the game is 9.5 with odds of -115 and -105 to bet the over or the under, respectively.

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Pitching Matchup

Taijuan Walker from the Mets is expected to take on the Reds righty Hunter Greene in Monday’s matchup. Walker has a record of 6-2 with a 2.72 ERA and 52 strikeouts. Greene has a record of 3-9 with an ERA of 5.72 and 93 strikeouts. Walker seems to have the edge on being the better pitcher outside of strikeouts.

Last time out, Walker got the no decision as he went an impressive 7.1 innings, giving up zero earned runs on four hits and striking out three batters. The offense wasn’t able to help him out with any runs in that contest. Greene picked up a loss in his last pitching appearance in what turned out to be a tough outing only going four innings giving up three runs on two hits and striking out five.

Expected Outcome

I expect the Mets to win the contest and cover the spread in Monday’s matchup and the rest of the series for that matter. They have the better team by far on both offense and pitching and I don’t expect the Reds to have much of an answer for their production.

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