Total Run Tuesday: Yankees vs. Mets 7/26/22

The New York Yankees and New York Mets are playing elite baseball this season, to the point that there is hope for them to meet in the World Series. But before these teams can attempt to fulfill their October aspirations, they are set to open up a four-game regular season series on Tuesday. With the total set at eight runs for this matchup, both teams are sending quality starting pitching to the mound for this contest.

New York Yankees

The New York Yankees come into this series having taken two out of three games against the Baltimore Orioles in their last series. In that series, the Yankees scored six or more runs in their two wins, while allowing six runs in their loss to Baltimore. For this game, the Yankees send Jordan Montgomery to the mound in hopes of preventing the Mets from contributing to the total.

Montgomery enters this contest with a 3-2 record on the season, and an ERA of 3.24. However, Montgomery has given up 13 home runs on the season, which could be a concern against the Mets. With the Mets sending big bats like that of Pete Alonso to the plate, Montgomery could be vulnerable to the long ball on Tuesday night.

New York Mets

The New York Mets enter this series with the Yankees having lost two of their last three games against the San Diego Padres. The offense of the Mets struggled to get going in that series, as they were held to one run in each of the first two games of that series. New York’s National League representatives did break through for eight runs in the final game of the series to avoid the sweep, though.

On Tuesday, the Mets will send Taijuan Walker to the mound to oppose Montgomery, which has not been good for opposing lineups this season. Walker is an impressive 7-2 on the season, with an under-friendly ERA of 2.55. While Montgomery has struggled to avoid allowing home runs this season, Walker has been great at keeping the ball in the park, allowing just four home runs in 2022.

Yankees vs. Mets Over/Under Trends

This season, the Yankees and Mets have both seen their games go over the total more often than not. The Mets rank third in Major League Baseball in terms of the percentage of their games that have gone over, going 47-41-8 (53.4%) to the over in 2022. On the flip side, the Yankees have gone 48-47-2 (50.5%) to the over on the year, as there has been a higher expectation of runs in many of their games relative to the rest of the league.

Tuesday’s game will be the first meeting of the year between the Yankees and Mets. While there is no frame of reference as far as the total is concerned between these two teams, both of these teams are positioned well from a pitching perspective to keep one another off the scoreboard. In what is expected to be a close game, this total could come down to the bullpens on each side.

Which side of this pitchers' duel do you stand on? Show it off by betting now for free on betJACK Training Camp!