Tour Championship Golf Betting Preview, Odds, Predictions

Overview

The season’s final tournament is upon us as the top-30 players in the FedEx Cup standings return to East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, GA., for the Tour Championship. East Lake has hosted the final leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs since 2004. 

The four-day event begins with players starting the event between 10 under par and even par depending on where they rank in the standings leading up to the tournament. The winner of the no-cut events wins the FedEx Cup and a chance at $15 million.

2020 Recap

Dustin Johnson is the defending Tour Champion and FedEx Cup winner. Johnson finished at 21-under last season, three shots in front of Xander Schauffele and Justin Thomas. The 37-year old entered East Lake with a two-shot lead over the field. 

The finish was Schauffele’s second runner-up in a row, and the 27-year old scored the lowest four-day total (265). Schauffele won this event in 2017.

Rahm (-17) and Scottie Scheffler (-14) rounded out the top five in 2020. Collin Morikawa (-13), Tyrrell Hatton (-12), Patrick Reed (-11), Sebastian Munoz (-11), and Rory McIlroy (-11) filled our the top-10.

The Course

East Lake Golf Club is a private golf course just outside of downtown Atlanta. The course was established in 1904 and is the oldest golf course in the Atlanta area. 

In 1913, Donald Ross took over the project of re-designing the course. After years of neglect during the 1980s, Rees Jones restored the course to the original Ross design in 1994. 

The course plays as a 70 and stretches 7,346 yards. The greens are made of Bermuda grass and require precision on approach. Players will need to play position golf off the tee and play the correct angles into the greens.

The Field

After a dramatic six-hole playoff victory over Bryson DeChambeau at the BMW Championship, Patrick Cantlay comes to East Lake as the top-ranked player in the FedEx Cup standings. Northern Trust winner Tony Finau is second, and DeChambeau enters in third. Rounding out the top five is Jon Rahm and Cameron Smith.

DJ qualified for the event for the 13th year in a row, while veteran Stewart Cink returns to the marquee event for the first time since 2009. Johnson comes in ranked 15th while Cink is 23rd.

Erik van Rooyen (27th) and Sergio Garcia (28th) played their way into the finale with solid performances at Caves Valley last weekend. Patrick Reed, who missed the first two playoff events due to an injury and illness, announced his intentions to play this weekend.

Betting Strategy

The greens are expected to play lightning fast this weekend, running between 12 and 12.5 on the stimpmeter. In many tournaments, Strokes Gained: Approach-the-Green has been an important statistic to monitor to predict the winner, but SG: Putting has recently proved to be more crucial.

Players that rank well in Par 4 efficiency from 450-500 yards and long iron proximity will have success on a course with five par-4s stretching 450 yards or more.

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