UFC 277 Betting Preview: Julianna Pena vs. Amanda Nunes Betting Odds & Picks
At UFC 277, the main card is headlined by a rematch for the women’s bantamweight title between Julianna Pena (12-4) and Amanda Nunes (21-5).
In their last bout, Julianna Pena shocked the world with a submission victory in the second round to earn UFC gold last December. Pena was a whopping +700 underdog for that one.
Betting Preview for Pena vs. Nunes
With the different odds going into fight week this time around, the champion is still quite a big underdog. I don’t remember a defending champion ever being a +240 underdog in the recent history of the UFC, but this just proves how dominant Nunes is in the oddsmakers’ eyes.
Some key odds to look at for this one are prop bets. For Pena to win via submission, the odds are as massive as +750 at some sportsbooks. She submitted Nunes in the last fight.
Another one to look at is Pena winning inside distance. It is most likely that is the best path to victory for her in this one, and that prop is sitting at as high as +450.
Amanda Nunes is a -280 favorite going into the rematch. It’s amazing that these odds are pretty low for her as she has been one of the most dominant champions the UFC has ever seen over her career.
The prop bets for Nunes to get a finish are all very valuable and are great plays to look into, as she has 17 finishes in her pro MMA career.
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Fight Breakdown
In the first fight between these two women, Nunes started off with a pretty dominant first round. Her leg kicks were working very well for her, but she went and followed Pena to the ground.
When Nunes got the fight to the floor and was in a top position, you could tell that Pena was surprising her with how much movement and the threat she was from her back.
In the second round, the tides took a dramatic change. Pena bit down on her mouthpiece and decided this was how she was going to win right then and there.
She took the fight to Nunes and put the dominant champion in a place she really has never been. The face of Nunes changed into a lot of worry and fatigue.
It was a historic night for the UFC, and it only makes this rematch that much more interesting this Saturday in Dallas, Texas. Nunes will come much more prepared in her game plan and how to handle this pressure from Pena. She should stay at distance and use her kicking game to her advantage because it was working very well in the first fight.
I believe that Pena will have unlimited confidence that she can break Nunes again and come out victorious. Look for her to bring the pressure early and try to break Nunes mentally like she did in the first one.
I predict it will be a sloppy brawl at some point, and it is only up to Nunes to control that and fight her fight, not Pena’s.
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