UFC Fight Night: Ciryl Gane Vs. Tai Tuivasa Betting Odds And Analysis

On Saturday, September 3, the UFC is making history by having the first event hosted in France. Headlining this card is a top-three matchup in the heavyweight division between Frenchman Ciryl Gane (10-1) and Tai Tuivasa (15-3). 

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Betting Odds

The odds for this MMA fight are very interesting to see in a fight that has both of the top heavyweights involved. Ciryl Gane is a massive (-600) favorite over the underdog, Tuivasa sitting at (+400) going into this weekend. 

That is a very odd line to have when two very skilled, massive fighters are throwing only four ounces of leather at each other. One clean shot landed for Tuivasa means the fight is over and the (+400) underdog bet slip cashes. 

Both fighters have plus-odds to win via KO, TKO, or DQ. This is an interesting play for many reasons. You always would like to think when two big heavyweights are in the octagon, a knockout will eventually come, especially over the 25 minutes of the bout in this one.

Fight Analysis/Breakdown

Ciryl Gane

Gane is going to try to fight his fight. His game plan will be to touch, and not get touched. He has elite movements and athleticism for a guy of his size. Surely something that Tuivasa has never seen before in his fighting career.

Gane has a background in Muay Thai and you can tell by the speed and accuracy of his kicks. But Gane also moves almost like a Karate specialist. He is probably the most skilled “point fighter” that the heavyweight division has ever seen. 

The hole in Gane’s game that we have seen is his wrestling and his jiu-jitsu from his back. He got the fight stolen from him against Ngannou because of grappling, and Ngannou is no “elite” wrestler himself.

But, as we all know, everything that you prepare for could go away the second that cage door closes, and you have a massive Australian brawler walking you down to land big shots. 

Tai Tuivasa

Tuivasa will come in with a lot of confidence knowing that he only needs to land that big shot to end the night shortly for Gane. He is coming off a big KO win over Derrick Lewis, along with riding a current five-fight KO win streak as well. He has had a long training camp and will definitely be prepared to bring the fight to Gane.

Look for this fight to be a frustrating one in the first round for Tuivasa. Gane is a tough puzzle to solve for most heavyweights, and Tuivasa doesn’t necessarily have takedowns to pull out if he needs to win a round. I think clinching up against the cage and landing elbows can come up big for Tuivasa to combat the distance control and athleticism of Gane.

Lastly, be prepared for this fight to be a finish. It will either be the big man Tuivasa gassing out from Gane’s onslaught after three-to-four rounds, or Tuivasa will catch Gane and put his lights out. What a great headliner bout for the inaugural UFC event in France.

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