Week 11 Sunday Night Football Steelers vs. Chargers Prop Bets

With Pittsburgh entering Week 11 ahead of both the Bengals and Browns in the AFC North standings, this contest has plenty of significance. It also has plenty of betting opportunities in the prop markets, as there are multiple looks that have some value entering this Sunday night tilt.

Najee Harris Over 81.5 Rush Yards (-115)

One of the best bets on the entire board this week is Najee Harris to rush for over 81.5 yards. Harris has run for 81 or more yards in four of his last five games, as his workload has expanded significantly over the course of the rookie year. But it is the run defense of the Chargers that makes this prop offering particularly appealing this week, as they are one of the worst units in the NFL at stopping the run.

This season, the Chargers rank dead last in the NFL in yards per carry allowed, giving up 4.8 yards per carry to opponents through Week 10. They should continue to struggle stopping the run against a back in Harris who has been good at continuing to move through contact early in his NFL career. Harris should be much closer to the 100-yard mark than the 80-yard mark for this game.

Both Teams Will Not Score 20 Points (-130)

While the Steelers should be able to move the ball with their rushing attack in this game, both teams are not going to score 20 points in this matchup. A look at the Pittsburgh Steelers this season shows that both teams going over the 20 point mark is a rarity rather than the rule. That will remain the case when Sunday Night Football is in the books this weekend.

Over their first nine games this year, the Steelers have only seen both teams score 20 points or more in two contests. One of those games was an overtime affair against the Seattle Seahawks, where Seattle scored exactly 20 points, while the second was a game against the Bears where the score was 20-6 heading into the fourth quarter. This game will be another one where one team fails to light up the scoreboard.

Shortest TD Under 1.5 Yards (-125)

The shortest touchdown prop is always an interesting one, as both teams are always a pass interference penalty and rushing touchdown away from the under-hitting. In this game, the under is again a game worth playing, as both teams like to air the ball out down the field in a way that could trigger that pass interference and rushing touchdown sequence. At just -125, the under 1.5-yard touchdown prop is worth taking a swing at in this game.

Both of these teams also have running backs who are capable of getting the ball into the end zone from short yardage, which works in favor of the under here. Najee Harris is poised to have another big game here, while Austin Ekeler has the athleticism to go over the line vertically if necessary from the one.