2022 NFL Coach of the Year Betting Odds & Picks

There’s an argument to be made that no individual NFL award is as difficult to predict before the season as the AP Coach of the Year. But that doesn’t mean we shouldn’t try.

If the Coach of the Year went to the perennially successful coaches, Bill Belichick and Andy Reid would be the only winners in the last 20 years. More often than not, the winning coach defies preseason expectations, overcomes adversity, and improves the overall record by a considerable number from the previous season.

Here are the latest odds for the NFL Coach of the Year, along with a few leaders who stand the best chance at winning the ultimate prize in coaching.

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NFL Coach of the Year Betting Odds

Brian Daboll (+1300)

Doug Pederson (+1400)

Brandon Staley (+1400)

Dan Campbell (+1500)

Kevin O’Connell (+1500)

Nick Sirianni (+1500)

Nathaniel Hackett (+1600)

Kyle Shanahan (+1600)

Mike McDaniel (+1700)

Josh McDaniels (+1700)

Kevin Stefanski (+2000)

Sean McDermott (+2200)

Frank Reich (+2200)

Dennis Allen (+2500)

Bill Belichick (+2500)

John Harbaugh (+2500)

Matt LaFleur (+2500)

Robert Saleh (+2500)

Zac Taylor (+2500)

Mike Tomlin (+2800)

Sean McVay (+3000)

Mike Vrabel (+3000)

Todd Bowles (+3300)

Matt Eberflus (+3300)

Kliff Kingsbury (+3300)

Andy Reid (+3300)

Ron Rivera (+3300)

Arthur Smith (+3300)

Pete Carroll (+4000)

Mike McCarthy (+4000)

Matt Rhule (+4000)

Lovie Smith (+4000)

Brian Daboll (+1300)

One of ten new head coaches in 2022, Daboll is the betting favorite to win Coach of the Year. The simple answer why is because of the low bar set by his predecessor Joe Judge.

Before Daboll was hired in January, Judge led the New York Giants through an embarrassing 4-13 campaign. Judge ultimately lost his judge after a string of embarrassing losses and cringeworthy press conferences, which paved the way for the affable Daboll to take charge in the Big Apple.

Daboll is fresh off of a successful run as the Buffalo Bills' offensive coordinator, during which he transformed Josh Allen from raw prospect to MVP favorite. If Daboll can rejuvenate Giants QB Daniel Jones and make New York a competent team again, he’ll have no problem getting considered for Coach of the Year.

Nathaniel Hackett (+1600)

Hackett is another new coach and just one of four with no previous head coaching experience. That said, he’s in a better position to succeed immediately than any other first-time coach.

After mentoring Aaron Rodgers as the Green Bay Packers quarterback coach, Hackett will oversee Russell Wilson and the Denver Broncos. Although the AFC West looks to be the toughest division in football, Wilson can still get 10+ wins out of a Broncos team that looks incredibly promising on paper.

Denver has yet to make the playoffs since its Super Bowl victory in 2015 and hasn’t had a winning season since 2016. All it takes is a Wild Card berth for Hackett to look like a genius.

Frank Reich (+2200)

Since his first season in 2018, Reich has had two campaigns worthy of COTY recognition. In his debut campaign, Reich lost to fellow rookie coach Matt Nagy. Two years later, Stefanski’s Cleveland Browns turnaround overshadowed Reich’s second playoff berth in three years.

Eventually, the 60-year-old should win. Why not this year?

In four years with the Indianapolis Colts, Reich has had four different starting quarterbacks. He’s finished below .500 once when he got Jacoby Brissett and the Colts to finish 7-9 in the aftermath of Andrew Luck’s sudden retirement.

With Matt Ryan at the helm, Reich will aim to win Indy its first AFC South crown since 2014. Doing so might be enough to earn a long-deserved Coach of the Year award.

Other Notable Mentions

Based on year-over-year improvement, it’s surprising that Zac Taylor (+2500) didn’t receive more consideration last year. While it’s true that the Cincinnati Bengals’ success ultimately rests on Joe Burrow, Taylor coached them to a 10-7 record after five straight losing seasons. If Cincy improves to 11 or even 12 wins, he should get some of the credit.

As far as longshots go, Ron Rivera (+3300) has some excellent value. The two-time Coach of the Year has weathered a tumultuous QB situation in D.C. to win seven games in each of his first two years. If his Washington Commanders — now lead by Carson Wentz — can get above .500 and win the NFC East, Rivera might have a case for a third trophy on his mantle.