2022 NFL Rushing Yard Leader Future Bets
The NFL is becoming more and more of a passer’s league. But don’t think for a second there won’t be numerous running backs eclipsing the thousand-yard barrier in an effort to lead the league in rushing?
Led by Jonathan Taylor, seven running backs gained more than 1,000 yards on the ground in 2021. Six more gained at least 900. In other words, there are a decent number of rushers in the mix to lead the NFL this upcoming season.
Here are where the latest odds stand for most rushing yards, along with a few of our favorite bets amongst them.
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NFL Most Rushing Yards Odds
Jonathan Taylor (+400)
Derrick Henry (+450)
Nick Chubb (+1100)
Dalvin Cook (+1100)
Najee Harris (+1400)
Joe Mixon (+1400)
Damien Harris (+2000)
Elijah Mitchell (+2000)
Javonte Williams (+2000)
Cam Akers (+2500)
J.K. Dobbins (+2500)
Antonio Gibson (+2500)
Christian McCaffrey (+3000)
James Conner (+4000)
Austin Ekeler (+4000)
Ezekiel Elliot (+4000)
Honorable Mentions: Lamar Jackson (+4000), Saquon Barkley (+5000), Josh Jacobs (+5000), Alvin Kamara (+6000).
Jonathan Taylor (+400)
Based on Taylor’s incredible 2021 campaign, it’s no wonder the 23-year-old is favored to win the rushing title for the second year in a row.
The Indianapolis Colts star is coming off a year to remember. Taylor’s 1,811 rushing yards were over 500 ahead of Chubb, who finished in second place. He also scored 18 touchdowns and secured 107 first downs, both of which led the league.
Even with Matt Ryan replacing Carson Wentz behind center, the Colts will still rely on Taylor for a large portion of their offense. Anything close to last year, and he’ll be heavily in the mix for a repeat performance.
Najee Harris (+1400)
Taylor made the jump from a solid rookie year to an unforgettable sophomore campaign. Perhaps Harris will do something similar in 2022.
The 2021 first-round pick played a major role in the Pittsburgh Steelers game plan. His 1,200 yards on the ground finished fourth in the NFL, and his 307 attempts were second to Taylor.
Ideally, Harris takes a major step forward from his 3.9 yards per carry in year two. Pittsburgh's uncertainty at QB and long-odds at the AFC North means they'll be running the rock quite a bit. With an improvement to five yards and a workload similar to last year, the youngster makes for a solid bet.
Antonio Gibson (+2500)
Another young back, Gibson, now has Wentz as his QB and looks to make a serious push up the leaderboard in his third season.
Gibson made the jump from 795 yards his rookie year to 1,037 yards in 2021. The Washington Commanders would love for that number to rise even further, especially after he averaged the fourth-most attempts behind Taylor, Harris, and Mixon.
Two concerns with Gibson are his declining yards-per-carry average (4.7 to 4.0) and the fact he didn’t pull off a run longer than 27 yards. That said, the 24-year-old still has room to grow.
Other Picks
It would have been unfathomable to imagine Elliot at +4000 a few years ago. The 27-year-old is still a lock for 1,000+ yards and 4.0 yards per carry. But he’ll need to earn some carries back from backup Tony Pollard (+7000), who earned over 700 yards on 130 carries in 2021.
Harris is another sleeper pick. The fourth-year back broke out with 15 touchdowns last year but also ran for 929 yards despite ranking just 17th in carries. With a new offensive coordinator in New England, the Patriots star has the potential to progress even further next season. His name is Damien Harris.
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