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UFC Fight Night Grasso vs. Araujo Betting Preview
On October 15, a UFC Fight Night event is back in the APEX, with headliners Alexa Grasso and Viviane Araujo squaring off in the UFC women's flyweight division.
Along with that great main event matchup, we get to watch a main event-worthy matchup between men’s flyweights Askar Askarov and Brandon Royval. Also in the co-main event slot for the evening is the return of battle-tested veteran Cub Swanson going up against Jonathan Martinez.
In the main event fight, Alexa Grasso (14-3) is the betting favorite at (-228), and Araujo (11-3) is the underdog at (+180).
Grasso is a solid fighter with a boxing style that has showed a lot of improvements in her all-around mixed martial arts skills over her recent few fights. She will be facing a lot of pressure and great grappling from Araujo on Saturday night that she will need to handle in the early rounds.
If Grasso can handle the early takedowns and be able to stuff them or just get back to her feet and not accept bottom position, she will be in good shape as the fight progresses. In the later rounds, it will be tough for Araujo to control her on the ground with the two of them being all sweaty and tired.
If the fight goes into the 4th and 5th rounds, Grasso has a real opportunity to really turn it on and put volume striking on Araujo to break her down and earn big wins on the judges’ scorecards.
Cub Swanson (28-12) is the betting underdog at (+175) going up against the younger fighter in Jonathan Martinez (16-4).
Swanson’s path to victory starts by making this fight ugly. He needs to put pressure on Martinez and push him up against the cage, engage in the clinch, and throw damaging strikes from that position.
He will need to see a bloodied-up and tired Martinez going into the third round to win this fight.
If this fight stays standing and at a kickboxing range, Martinez is much more equipped to pick Swanson apart from distance and beat him up for 15 minutes.
The last featured fight we need to go over is the men’s flyweight bout between Askar Askarov (14-1-1) and Brandon Royval (14-6).
Royval is surprisingly a pretty sizeable underdog at (+220). Askarov is no stranger to being a big favorite with odds at (-250). We know the oddsmakers love that Dagestani style grappling in MMA that seems to be so dominant around the world.
The question is if Askarov can return to his confident, dominant self after losing a surprising one to Kai Kara-France for a shot at the title, in none other than Columbus, Ohio.
Luckily for him, he is still in a position to earn a title shot with an impressive performance this weekend.
Brandon Royval has the tools to make this an upset victory for himself. He has an unorthodox striking and grappling style that could lead to a lot of scrambles that Askarov is not used to, and it can start to frustrate him if he can’t hold Royval down.
Royval always chases finishes and looks for the “performance of the night” bonus in every fight he is in. This has all the makings of a fight of the night, with two tough, durable, exciting fighters going at it in probably their biggest fight of their careers.
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