Five Prop Bets to Consider for 2021 Cleveland Browns
The Browns are coming off of a great 2020 season but now turn their focus to doing even better in 2021. Fans are undoubtedly excited about the season, and expectations are as high as ever.
When looking at odds surrounding the Browns, it’s easy to get caught up in thinking everyone is going to have a wonderful season. But there are at least a few bets worth locking in while we’re still early into training camp.
Here are five prop bets to consider when betting on the 2021 Cleveland Browns.
1. Nick Chubb Over 1350.5 rushing yards (-112)
Chubb is a happy man right now, fresh off signing a new three-year extension to keep him in Cleveland. And while some may worry about the 25-year old losing his motivation due to not playing for a contract anymore, the former Georgia Bulldog should be considered to go over his projected rushing yard total.
In 12 games last season, Chubb ran for 1,067 yards, which on a 16-game pace would place him around 1,423. The year before, Chubb started every game and set a career-high with 1,494 rushing yards. So naturally, even with Kareem Hunt sharing a backfield, a healthy Chubb should be able to go over 1,350 yards, especially with a 17th game added to the mix.
2. Baker Mayfield Under 4000.5 passing yards (-112)
After three seasons in the league, Mayfield is still searching for his first 4,000-yard season. It will happen eventually, but it might be tough to predict it happening in 2021, given how Cleveland’s offense operates.
Between Chubb and Hunt, the Browns had the third-most rushing yards in the NFL last season. Even with Mayfield’s huge second-half turnaround, don’t expect Cleveland to become a pass-first team this fall. It will be close when you consider the 17th game as well, but Mayfield might finish just below 4K in 2021.
3. Jarvis Landry Under 850.5 receiving yards (-112)
It might be unfair to take the under on Landry’s total here since he has had over 1,100 receiving yards in three seasons and over 900 yards all but twice. But if last season was any indication, Landry reaching over 850 yards might be just a hair too much.
Landry had 840 receiving yards last season, the lowest since his rookie season. But he also finished with 36 fewer targets than in 2019, despite Odell Beckham Jr. missing more than half of the season. With Beckham back and Cleveland sure to focus on the running game, Landry may just have to settle for a more limited amount of short-yardage catches once again.
4. Browns to make playoffs (-225)
We see playoff teams, especially Wild Card teams, make the playoffs and then fall off the very next year. However, Cleveland’s loaded roster got even better this offseason, setting them up to return to the playoffs in 2021.
The AFC doesn’t have a ton of high-end playoff competition, and up-and-comers like the Dolphins and Chargers have young quarterbacks that might make them a year or two away. Health permitting, double-digit wins, and another playoff berth should be expected among Browns fans.
5. Browns to win division (+140)
Let’s go one step further with this final prop bet. Cleveland is just under Baltimore when it comes to the highest odds to win the AFC North, but it’s close enough to where it’s definitely worth taking.
Currently, the division consists of a Bengals team in the midst of a rebuild and a Steelers team that faded down the stretch last season and is led by an aging quarterback. The Ravens are the closest competition to the Browns but also have the toughest schedule in all of the football along with the Steelers. The Week 12 and 14 matchups against the Rat Birds might determine the division, but Cleveland is definitely good enough to win it.
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