NFL MVP Odds & Best Bets
The NFL regular season is winding down, and we are beginning to see clearly what can be solid season-long bets for MVP and win totals.
All odds are courtesy of DraftKings, so depending on when you place your wager and with what sportsbook you use, the odds can be slightly different.
NFL MVP: Tom Brady (+350)
Stop me if you’ve heard this before, but Tom Brady is currently the odds-on favorite to win the NFL MVP. He is fourth in QBR (63.6), second in passing yards (3,403), and leading the NFL with 30 touchdowns.
He’s been getting a little sloppy with his turnovers as he has six interceptions in his previous four games, but some have been just bad luck, and the MVP is usually an award that needs a narrative, and Brady has one.
The 44-year old quarterback continuing to dominate the NFL in a way that we never seen before and throwing the ball incredibly well.
Not to mention that the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are currently the third seed in the NFC and are just a game behind the Arizona Cardinals for the lead. The story is just writing itself at this point.
NFL MVP: Josh Allen (+450)
Josh Allen has the second-best odds of winning the MVP, but I just don’t see it. The Bills are not a consistent team as the New England Patriots have surpassed them in the AFC East, and this seems to be based off his early-season stats.
Allen is playing well as he has 3,071 passing yards (3rd), with 25 touchdowns (tied for 3rd) and ten interceptions. His MVP case lies on if they can defeat the Patriots and Allen plays well.
I don’t see it happening, and this being, some big bets were placed on him to keep his odds as high as they are. He’s not winning the MVP as a Wild Card, and the NFL MVP seems to be coming out of the NFC.
Allen is this season’s Russell Wilson of 2020 as his MVP talks died down as the season progressed.
NFL MVP: Aaron Rodgers (+600)
Even after missing some time with COVID, Aaron Rodgers could be in line for a back-to-back NFL MVP Award. He could be the first player to do so since Peyton Manning did back in 2008 and 2009.
Now, remember that the media votes on this award, and he lied to the media about his vaccination status so that could be held against him; however, his stats are incredible again.
So far this season, he has 2,978 yards (9th) with 23 touchdowns to four interceptions and a 64.9 QBR (3rd). He also is half a game behind the Arizona Cardinals for the top seed in the NFC while also holding the tiebreaker as they beat the Cardinals head-to-head.
If he can continue to play this well, he could win the award for the second consecutive season.
NFL Comeback Player of the Year: Joe Burrow (+500)
The only player with better odds for the award currently is Dak Prescott, and as the Cowboys begin to falter, it seems less likely that he can win the award. Instead, Joe Burrow coming back from multiple torn ligaments in his knee and playing well to the point that they are currently one game out of the top seed in the AFC and currently own the tiebreaker with the Baltimore Ravens.
Joe Burrow is playing well as he has 2,835 yards with 22 touchdowns and 12 interceptions this season. If he can play a little better down the stretch and continue winning to get to double-digit wins and take control of the AFC North, he should win this award.
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