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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Cleveland Browns Best Prop Bets November 27
The Buccaneers (5-5) are taking the trip to Cleveland to take on the Browns (3-7). The kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 pm.
The Buccaneers are clear favorites for this matchup, with the spread set at -3. The point total for the matchup is 42. Here are some prop bets for this week's matchup.
Nick Chubb Over 71.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
It’s been a slow two weeks for Nick Chubb, with some uncharacteristic outings of under 70 yards. This prop bet seems like a low rushing total, considering the number of carries Chubb gets in this offense.
The Bucs do have a stout run defense similar to the Bills, but Stefanski will likely need the offense to go back to relying on the run to set up the pass. It’s a bit concerning that All-Pro guard Wyatt Teller has still not practiced much, but if he’s available, I think this gives Chubb a clear runway to a 100-yard outing.
Chris Godwin Anytime Touchdown (+140)
The Bucs have been making a concerted effort for Godwin to get the ball more, and he was able to notch his first touchdown of the season last week against the Seahawks.
The Bucs have also had some difficulties running the ball in the red zone and Godwin will benefit from this. He has operated in some ways as Tom Brady’s checkdown and the short rub routes in the red zone could provide some real value.
Godwin gets about seven targets a game, so its fair to think that he’ll be able to turn one into a score, especially against a Browns defense that is horrendous at tackling and coverage.
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Tom Brady Over 250 Passing Yards (-162)
Tom Brady has had a rough year. Luckily for him, he’ll be able take out some of the aggression against this terrible Browns defense.
If Joe Woods and the Browns were “surprised” by the looks Tua and Mike McDaniel gave them, just wait until they have to try and analyze Tom Brady’s pre-snap leads. Brady’s an offensive savant and understands exactly where the team's weak spots are.
He’ll most likely be calling plays at the line quickly exposing Wood’s alignments. Factor in the poor coverage and communication skills, and Brady should be at 250 passing yards minimum. A part of me wants to take Brady crossing over 300 yards, but as a benefit to the Browns offense taking more time off the clock, I will not.
Browns Cover +3.5
Despite the Browns defense and the capabilities of the Bucs as an offense, I think the Browns offense is still good enough to cover. The Browns tout a top-scoring offense in the league, and Jacoby Brissett has been able to keep games close.
Cade York will need to make his kicks though, to cover, so there is some worry there, considering his consistency. For as bad as the Browns make their fans feel, they can still do enough to keep it within three. If the defense can keep Brady off the field, the Browns offense has a chance.
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