Best Prop Bets: Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns Monday Night Football

Best Prop Bets: Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns Monday Night Football

Tyler Vaysman
1 month ago
2 min read
Cincinnati Bengals' Mike Hilton tackles Cleveland Browns running back Nick Chubb

The Cleveland Browns (2-5) host their interstate rival and AFC North foe, the Cincinnati Bengals (4-3), this Monday on Monday Night Football. In what should be an offense-driven matchup, both teams are looking to prove a point and spoil playoff hopes. 

Here are some prop bet picks you should consider for Monday night to wrap up Week 8 in the NFL.

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Joe Burrow Under 270 Passing Yards (-115)

Joe Burrow has been on fire lately, stringing together impressive performances. While he does average about 300 passing yards per game, there is some context that needs to be taken into account before smashing his passing yard over with confidence. 

The Bengals will be without marquee wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase. This is key, considering the Bengals offensive game plan is primarily impacted by the threat of a downfield shot to Chase.

 I’d also expect that Joe Woods sells out to stop the pass to force Mixon to beat the Browns on the ground. Burrow has hit the over in two games this season, but I’d stay away from expecting the same. 

Nick Chubb Over 91.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

With Kareem Hunt likely on the move, it's fair to assume that Nick Chubb won’t be splitting carries anymore and will carry an entire load of rushing opportunities. In seven games, Chubb is averaging 105 yards per game. 

I don’t expect the Bengals to slow this down either, as their run defense has been middle of the pack. These two factors combined for what should be an electric day at the office for Nick Chubb and the Browns offensive line. 

The only drawback to this prop pick would be if the Browns fall behind early and have to devote more snaps to the passing game. In that case, I still think Nick Chubb is liable to break off a big run in his early snaps before the game gets out of reach. The Browns will still need to use the run to set up the pass, so I expect Chubb to get his shine regardless. 

Nick Chubb Over 10.5 Receiving Yards

As previously mentioned, Kareem Hunt could be traded before the Browns take the first snap Monday night. If this happens, Nick Chubb will have to be a part of 3rd down situations. If Chubb is the 3rd down back, we could expect Stefanski to look to scheme up easy completions to Chubb by way of a screen pass. 

Because of his patience as a ball carrier, Chubb will do some damage on screen passes, and 10.5 receiving yards look very attainable. There is the downside that if Kareem Hunt isn’t traded before Monday night that the Browns will try to boost his value by showcasing him. 

Even then, I still like Chubb’s chances on some early down-screen plays.

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