Best Prop Bets: New England Patriots vs. Cleveland Browns October 16

The New England Patriots head to Cleveland to take on the Browns in what should be a run-dominated AFC matchup. This game could come down to who breaks first, as the defense on both sides will be looking to make a statement. 

The Patriots are coming in with a massive injury report and will miss some key pieces on offense. The Browns might be the healthiest they have been all year, but the team has not found a way to win when it matters the most. 

Two football savants, Bill Bellichick and Kevin Stefanski, will be looking to get closer in the playoff race. As we all know, the game is decided by the players. Here are some player props that you should consider. 

Nick Chubb Over 96.5 Rushing Yards

At some point, Nick Chubb has to slow down, right? Wrong. 

This guy has been a man on a mission. The self-proclaimed “Batman” is averaging 118 rushing yards while still finding new gears that many didn't think were possible for the 5th year running back. 

The Patriots run defense has not been up to Bellichick standards, currently ranked 22nd in the league against the rush. Sunday’s game should be another opportunity for Chubb to add another 100-yard rush line to his season stats. 

There is always the threat of Kareem Hunt stealing some opportunities here so be cautious. The handoff to Chubb has been the best play in Stefanski’s playsheet. Expect him to use it often. 

Rhamondre Stevenson Under 83.5 Rushing Yards

If Joe Woods wants to keep his job, this better hit. The Browns run defense has been abysmal since the loss of Anthony Walker. Each week that goes by, the Browns somehow give up more rushing yards than anticipated. 

The trade for Deion Jones should help alleviate some of these concerns, but that unit needs to get its act together. Fortunately, I believe this is the week to bounce back. 

The Patriots don't present much of a threat in the passing game, and we’ve seen Bellichick look to run first. Expect Joe Woods to be aggressive when stopping the run, even if it means loading up the box. 

Damien Harris will be out with injury, so this game truly relies on Rhamondre Stevenson carrying the load for New England.

Jacoby Brissett Over 14.5 Rush Yards

Who knew that Jacoby Brissett was this mobile? He’s put on some impressive moves these past few weeks. 

While this is undoubtedly a high-risk, high-reward prop, Brissett may be more inclined to get easy yards if the defense allows him to. As a runner, Brissett has rushed for 112 yards and a touchdown. 

He averages about 5 yards per carry and has yet to rush for fewer than 10 yards, with his highest this season being 43 rushing yards against the Jets. Again, this is a risky prop but one that could yield a great reward.

Brissett learned the hard way against the Chargers that tucking and running is a better option than forcing passes in the redzone. He’s too smart of a player to make that mistake again.