Cleveland Browns vs. Miami Dolphins November 11 Betting Preview

Cleveland Browns vs. Miami Dolphins November 11 Betting Preview

Ryan Knuppel
1 year ago
3 min read
Cleveland Browns running back Kareem Hunt runs the ball against the Dolphins

The Miami Dolphins (6-3) play host to the Cleveland Browns (3-5) this Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. 

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The Favorite: Dolphins (-189)

The Miami Dolphins look to add to their win total and impressive showing so far. Coming off a narrow win against the Chicago Bears, Miami aims for an AFC East push in the second half of the season.

 The Dolphins are led by rookie head coach and overall “chill guy” Mike McDaniel, who has found success getting the most out of players who are tailor-made for his system. With two wide receivers in Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill, who both rank in the top five in receiving yards, Miami depends on its offense to keep this train rolling.

 As evident by the blossoming of Tua Tagovailoa, who is completing nearly 70% of his passes. Tua had many fans in the preseason believing he wasn't “wide receiver” friendly and has shut down the narrative by averaging 13 yards per completion. 

Throw in the addition of Jeff Wilson Jr at the trade deadline, and the Dolphins have a well-balanced offensive attack that will require the best effort from the Browns defense. 

The expectation would be that Miami gets the passing game going early against a Browns secondary who had a very suspect first half of the season but have seemed to found their rhythm in the last few games. 

Betting The Spread: Browns +3.5 (-110)

Never too late for a playoff push. This Browns team is freshly rested after their bye and coming off a blowout win of the defending AFC Champions. The Browns offense has been quietly elite, with no one able to stop the running game and the overachieving quarterback play of Jacoby Brissett.

 In my opinion, it's surprising that the Browns are as big of underdogs as listed, with the Browns moneyline currently sitting at (+155). This team has all the tools necessary to beat the Dolphins. Denzel Ward will be returning, and with the performance of Greg Newsome and M.J. Emerson, the pass-dependent Dolphins may have their hands tied. 

This Dolphins team is looking for a shootout, and I’d be shocked if Kevin Stefanski gives in. The Dolphins aren't built to win low-scoring games, and knowing Stefanski, he will try to run the clock down and stall any Dolphins momentum with his rushing-focused attack. 

The point total for this matchup is 49, so I fully expect the under to be in play, considering the pace the Browns would like to play at. Personally, the Browns moneyline is way too enticing for me to pass up. 

The Browns are fighting to keep postseason aspirations alive, and this matchup against the Dolphins is very winnable on paper. This will also be a homecoming game for Jacoby Brissett, who looked impressive against the Bengals and other solid NFL defenses this year. 

I’d also expect that Joe Woods tries to improve on the showing the defense had two weeks ago in which pressure was generated from all angles. 

Myles Garrett will have a tough time drawing a matchup against Terron Armstead. Sione Takitaki, an impending free agent, displayed a masterclass as the mike linebacker against Cincy. All the tools are there for the Browns, but execution has been this team's downfall so far. 

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