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CFB Saturday Best Bets
Week 7 is full of conference matchups without a ton of headliner games, but with this college football season, we've learned to never let our guard down. This week sets up like a fun betting slate and one that could yield a lot of success if we follow the teams correctly.
UCLA (+2) vs. Washington
Let's start this off with my favorite bet on the week from a spread perspective. I just don't understand the line, and I am sure that there's nothing that I am missing. Now, that doesn't mean that I can't just be wrong, but I thought that this line was so bad I was missing key injury new or something. That's not the case.
UCLA has struggled with explosive passing offenses this season. We've seen them get torched in man coverage against Arizona State, Fresno State, and even a few big plays to LSU. That just isn't what Washington does. It's actually exactly what Washington DOESN'T do.
UCLA, on the other hand, have the offensive talent and scheme to beat just about any system they play against at different points. We've seen them be inconsistent offensively even within the same game, but I gave no reason to believe that the Bruins cannot score points on a Washington defense that allowed plenty of touches on the ground by Michigan to burn them in the end. UCLA has a better QB and a more explosive pass game than the Wolverine team that beat up the Huskies.
Now, you could counter that by saying Washington is playing better, but are they really? Arkansas State, California, and Oregon State? UCLA's personnel and talent are just on a different level, and I think that we see this on display on Saturday night. I also think that UCLA is still alive in the Pac-12 South and has a lot to play for as a program.
NC State vs. Boston College (+3)
I get this line, but I'm going to ride the Jeff Haflet train to the top, and that means that I'm going to take the points at home with an incredibly scrappy team that will fight and claw their way into every single game they play. BC was a costly turnover away from taking down Clemson a few weeks ago, something that NC State did the week prior. I expect this to be a competitive game, but a toss-up in the end, so give me the home dog getting 3 points.
Florida (-12) vs. LSU
This is a very, very strange game that I would honestly be shocked to see be close to the line either way. Either this is a real football game between 2 SEC powerhouse programs or this is just a bloodbath. As you can tell, I lean bloodbath for a bunch of reasons.
LSU's program is in shambles, and I think that it will continue to crater before figuring anything out. There is no buy-in, no trust in the coaching staff, no nothing. They've had their three best players ruled out due to injury within the last week, which could be a coincidence or could be a sign of the dismay in the locker room.
Florida runs the ball very well and should have a heyday running all over the porous LSU run defense that is likely the second-worst in the SEC. Give me the Gators by 3+ scores here.
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